Tuesday, January 5, 2010

Wednesday Plays...

Ok lets start with Aqueduct... As earlier discussed, the only sequence that fits what I am looking for is races 3-5, so thats what we will be playing. Here it goes-

Aqueduct Race 3, pick 3's

2,3/7/4,5....4$=16$

2,3,5,6/7/1,2,4,5.....2$=32$

$48 total for the sequence.

Thoughts- I beleive leg 1 of the pick 3 is wide open. We are tossing the first time Dutrow horse because I dont like his dirt form at all, also the 2 works he is showing at Aqueduct are very slow and dull. Maybe hes not doing good right now, he will surely be overbet and I will let his type beat me. Leg 2 is a tough one for me, the 7 is the type of horse I will bet tons of money trying to beat, but in this spot vs these horses I think shes lock city. I dont see anyone in here who can jump up and defeat her, shes tactical enough to sit close and I highly doubt Ramon will make the same mistakes he made riding her last time. Leg 3, I am totally against the morning line favorite in here, if she wins I lose. She has shown no early speed at all in her last 4 races, she is in good form but this track has been playing to speed and I see some very good alternatives to her. Zip of Fools should be ready to fire a huge effort second of the layoff, that bullet work on 12/28 jumps out to me and signals that shes the one to beat. Ok, bottom line is we probably wont break the bank with this sequence, we are keying around a horse who should be 2-5, but we are tossing likely favorites in leg's 1 and 3, so I feel it could pay and is worth the 48$ investment.

Gulfstream, Race 6, Pick 3's

2,9/3/3,10,11,12.....1$=8$

2,9/1,3,5,10/1,3,5,10,11,12.....1$=48$

56$ total for the sequence.

Thoughts- Another tough sequence, leg 1 is difficult because I feel they all suck, looking ahead I highly doubt any of these will make any impact in any stakes races or anything. I think the 9 is the one to beat, you should be able to expect improvment from anything Todd sends down here. Leg 2 is different the 3 has done nothing at all wrong in any of his 3 starts and looks to continue to improve in here, we will back up a little on the second ticket though. Leg 3 is wide open and I beleive I covered the race well.

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